rusworldРоссия и мир: научный диалогRussia & World: Sc. Dialogue2782-3067НИИРК10.53658/RW2026-4-1(19)-208-230rusworld-379Research ArticleВЛАСТЬ, ПОЛИТИКА, ГОСУДАРСТВО. Политические институты, процессы и технологииPOWER, POLITICS, STATE. Political institutions, processes and technologies«Избирательный шок» как модель когнитивной реакции: сентимент-анализ и тематическое моделирование освещения Russia Today покушения на Д. Трампа«Selective Shock» as a Cognitive Response Model: A Sentiment and Topic Modeling Analysis of Russia Today’s Coverage of the Trump Assassination Attempthttps://orcid.org/0009-0001-7017-1310СтребковаК. Е.StrebkovaK. E.

Карина Евгеньевна Стребкова. Преподаватель кафедры общей психологии; Стажер-исследователь кафедры сравнительной политологии

199034, г. Санкт-Петербург, Университетская наб., 7–9.

Кarina Е. Strebkova. Lecturer, Department of General Psychology

7-9, Universitetskaya nab., Saint-Petersburg, 199034.

streb.karina@gmail.comhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-0213-6919МальцеваД. А.MaltsevaD. A.

Дарья Александровна Мальцева. Кандидат политических наук. Доцент кафедры теории и философии политики, заместитель декана по молодежной политике факультета политологии 

199034, г. Санкт-Петербург, Университетская наб., 7–9.

Daria A. Maltseva. CandSc. (Polit.). Associate Professor of the Department of Theory and Philosophy of Politics, Deputy Dean for Youth Policy of the Faculty of Political Science

7-9, Universitetskaya nab., Saint-Petersburg, 199034.

maltseva-da@rudn.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-2942-5021АлейниковА. В.AleinikovA. V.

Андрей Викторович Алейников. Доктор философских наук. Профессор кафедры конфликтологии

199034, г. Санкт-Петербург, Университетская наб., 7–9.

Andrei V. Aleinikov. DSc. (Philosoph.). Associate Professor of the Department of Conflictology

7-9, Universitetskaya nab., Saint-Petersburg, 199034.

a.alejnikov@spbu.ruСанкт-Петербургский государственный университет; Российский университет дружбы народов имени Патриса ЛумумбыРоссияSaint-Petersburg State University; RUDN UniversityRussian FederationСанкт-Петербургский государственный университетРоссияSaint-Petersburg State UniversityRussian Federation20263003202601208230Copyright © Стребкова К.Е., Мальцева Д.А., Алейников А.В., 20262026Стребкова К.Е., Мальцева Д.А., Алейников А.В.Strebkova K.E., Maltseva D.A., Aleinikov A.V.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://www.russia-world.ru/jour/article/view/379

Настоящая статья предлагает междисциплинарную теоретическую рамку для анализа аффективных и структурных сдвигов в медиаполе в условиях политических кризисов, основанную на двухсистемной модели мышления Д. Канемана. Предлагаемый подход апробируется на материале освещения государственным медиа Russia Today (RT) шокового события – покушения на Д.Трампа 14 июля 2024 г. в Пенсильвании. С помощью комплексного применения сентимент-анализа и тематического моделирования к корпусу из 1 260 сообщений Telegram-канала исследование выявляет модель «избирательного шока». Данная модель характеризуется мгновенной, но краткосрочной концентрацией редакционных ресурсов на шоковом событии (активация Системы 1), которая сопровождается резким пиком негативной тональности, достигающим максимального значения за весь исследуемый период. Тематический анализ подтверждает, что этот аффективный пик достигается за счет почти полной монополизации информационной повестки кризисным сюжетом, занимающим более 70% дневного покрытия и вытесняющим все прочие темы. После краткого периода максимальной эмоциональной интенсивности наблюдается быстрый «сброс» темы и возвращение к рутинной редакционной политике с восстановлением политематической структуры повестки. Результаты показывают, что когнитивные паттерны государственных медиа могут быть детерминированы их институциональной ролью и стратегическими задачами в контексте глобального информационного противостояния. Работа вносит вклад в развитие методологии исследований международной безопасности, предлагая инструментарий для количественного измерения когнитивных паттернов в медиадискурсе и открывая перспективы для изучения информационных операций в цифровую эпоху и разработки стратегий устойчивости к аффективным манипуляциям и дезинформационным кампаниям.

This article proposes an interdisciplinary framework, based on Daniel Kahneman’s dual-system model of thought, to analyse the affective and structural shifts within the media landscape during political crises. The proposed framework is applied to the coverage by the state-affiliated outlet Russia Today (RT) of the shock event – the assassination attempt on Donald Trump - on July 14, 2024. Using an integrated application of sentiment analysis and topic modelling, the study identifies the «selective shock» model. This model is characterized by an immediate but short-term concentration of editorial resources on the event (a System 1 activation), accompanied by a sharp peak in negative sentiment. The topic modeling confirms that this affective peak is achieved through the near-total monopolization of the news agenda by the crisis narrative. Following a brief period of maximum emotional intensity, there is a rapid «reset» back to the routine editorial policy. The findings indicate that the cognitive patterns of state media can be determined by their institutional role and strategic objectives within the context of global information confrontation. The paper contributes to the methodology of international security studies by offering an analytical toolkit for the quantitative measurement of cognitive patterns within media discourse and opening perspectives for studying information operations in the digital age.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.